A 95-person healthcare company in Bristol with £7.5M revenue. After Q1 actuals came in 8% below budget on revenue, the CFO is conducting a Q2 reforecast. The reforecast updates the full-year outlook while preserving the original budget as a baseline for performance measurement.
Example data
The 6% revenue reduction reflects Q1 underperformance (8% below budget) partially recovered in the forward forecast. Two delayed NHS contracts are now expected to close in Q3 rather than Q2.
Cost mitigation of £150k comes from three actions: (1) defer 2 planned hires from Q2 to Q4, (2) reduce paid marketing by £40k, (3) renegotiate two software contracts saving £25k annually.
Despite the revenue miss, EBITDA is only 14.6% below the original budget (£142k). Quick cost action preserved two-thirds of the margin. The reforecast EBITDA margin of 11.8% is still healthy.
Formulas
Reforecast Revenue = Q1 Actual + Revised Q2-Q4 ForecastQ1 actuals (£1,680k vs £1,875k budget) anchor the reforecast. Forward quarters are revised down 4% from original budget to reflect the softer demand environment.
OpEx Savings = Original OpEx - Reforecast OpExThe reforecast includes £150k of cost savings: deferred hiring (£85k), reduced marketing spend (£40k), and renegotiated contracts (£25k). These actions partially offset the revenue shortfall.
EBITDA Impact = Revenue Shortfall - Cost SavingsRevenue drops £450k but OpEx is reduced by £150k, resulting in a net EBITDA impact of £142k (after adjusting for the GP margin effect on the revenue shortfall).
Analysis
Customisation
Add a quarterly phasing view showing when the variances land
Include a "risks and opportunities" table for further variance potential
Add a scenario overlay showing what happens if Q2 also underperforms
Include the specific actions taken (deferred hires, reduced spend) as line items
Track reforecast accuracy over time to improve future planning
Keep exploring
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View exampleA 55-person logistics technology company in Reading with £4.5M revenue. The CFO is preparing for a board meeting and needs to present three scenarios: base case (the plan), upside case (if two large contracts close), and downside case (if the market softens). The scenarios share the same cost structure but vary revenue and growth assumptions.
View exampleFAQ
A reforecast is warranted when actuals deviate materially from budget (typically 5-10% or more on revenue or EBITDA) or when external conditions change significantly. Many companies do routine quarterly reforecasts regardless of performance to maintain an accurate forward view.
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