Forecasting & Modelling

How do I create a three-statement financial model?

Quick Answer

A three-statement model links the income statement (P&L), balance sheet, and cash flow statement into a single integrated model. Build the P&L first with revenue and cost assumptions, then construct the balance sheet with working capital and asset schedules, and finally derive the cash flow statement. The key is circular linkages: net income flows to retained earnings, CapEx connects P&L depreciation to balance sheet assets, and working capital changes drive operating cash flow.

Key Takeaways

  • Links P&L, balance sheet, and cash flow into one integrated model
  • Build in order: income statement first, then balance sheet, then cash flow
  • Circular references connect the three statements (interest income depends on cash balance)
  • Essential for fundraising, valuation, and comprehensive financial planning

What is a three-statement model?

A three-statement model is an integrated financial model that links all three core financial statements. Changes to the P&L cascade through the balance sheet and cash flow statement, giving you a complete picture of financial performance, position, and liquidity.

Building the income statement

Start with revenue, then layer in cost of goods sold (COGS), operating expenses, depreciation, interest, and tax. The structure follows the standard P&L: Revenue - COGS = Gross Profit - OpEx = EBITDA - D&A = EBIT - Interest = EBT - Tax = Net Income.

Building the balance sheet

Assets: Cash (from cash flow statement), accounts receivable (from revenue and DSO), inventory (if applicable), fixed assets (from CapEx schedule minus depreciation), and other assets.

Liabilities: Accounts payable (from costs and DPO), accrued expenses, debt (from debt schedule), and other liabilities.

Equity: Share capital plus retained earnings (prior year retained earnings plus net income minus dividends).

Building the cash flow statement

Operating cash flow: Start with net income, add back depreciation, and adjust for working capital changes (change in receivables, payables, inventory).

Investing cash flow: CapEx purchases minus asset disposals.

Financing cash flow: Debt drawdowns minus repayments, equity raises, dividends paid.

Net change in cash: Sum of operating + investing + financing cash flows. This feeds back to the balance sheet cash line, completing the circular linkage.

Key schedules and linkages

  • Debt schedule: Models loan balances, interest payments, and repayments
  • Depreciation schedule: Tracks fixed assets, additions, and depreciation
  • Working capital schedule: Models receivables, payables, and inventory timing
  • Tax schedule: Calculates tax payments including timing differences

Common challenges

The main challenge is circular references β€” interest expense depends on debt balance, which depends on cash flow, which depends on interest expense. Most spreadsheet models handle this with iterative calculations. FP&A software typically resolves these automatically.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

A simplified version is useful for any business. At minimum, link your P&L to a cash flow forecast. A full three-statement model becomes important when raising funding, applying for loans, or planning CapEx-heavy investments.

In Excel, enable iterative calculations (File > Options > Formulas). In Google Sheets, enable iterative calculations in settings. In FP&A software like Grove FP, circular references are resolved automatically by the calculation engine.

Project 3-5 years for fundraising and strategic planning, with monthly detail for year 1 and annual detail for years 2-5. For operational planning, 12-18 months of monthly detail is typical.

The balance sheet and working capital assumptions are typically the hardest. Getting the timing of cash flows right β€” when payments are received and made β€” requires careful modelling of payment terms and working capital cycles.

Yes. Grove FP generates integrated P&L, balance sheet, and cash flow projections from your planning model. Working capital, depreciation, and debt schedules are built in, with automatic circular reference resolution.

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